PEMILU MESIR : IKHWANUL MUSLIMIN MENANG?

source: http://blogs.aljazeera.net/middle-east/2011/11/29/egyptians-head-polls-alexandria

Diberitakan oleh Tempo di dalam situs resminya, bahwa Ikhwanul Muslimin ditenggarai memimpin kemenangan suara di pemilu putaran pertama pada Hari senin dan selasa ini. Partai pemimpin kedua adalah Partai Kebebasan dan Keadilan (FJP). Namun keterangan resmi baru akan dikeluarkan enam minggu setelah pelaksanaan pemilu tersebut. 

Berita serupa terdapat dalam siaran langsung Blog Aljazeera, 




"Egypt's influential Muslim Brotherhood is leading in the opening round of the country's first post-revolution parliamentary elections, press reports said on Wednesday.

Early indications suggest that the Islamist movement's Freedom and Justice Party, as well as parties belonging to the hardline Salafi movements, were ahead in six provinces, the state-owned Al-Ahram newspaper reported.

According to the independent daily Al-Shorouk, in Cairo "the first signs show the Freedom and Justice Party with 47 percent of the votes, and 22 percent for the Egyptian bloc," a coalition of secular parties.

The vote on Monday and Tuesday in Cairo, Alexandria and other areas was the first of three stages of an election for a new lower house of parliament. The rest of the country follows next month and in January." [AFP] 

Demikian Aljazeera. Adapun Pemilu ini berlangsung setelah serangkaian protes terhadap pemerintahan militer baru di mesir. Secara kronologis,  New York Times menggambarkan rangkaian peristiwa sebelum pemilu tersebut. 

“Nov. 28 Defying expectations of chaos and violence, millions of voters turned out at dawn to cast their votes in Egypt’s first parliamentary election since the ouster of Hosni Mubarak in February.

Nov. 25 The military appointed a politician from the Mubarak era to head a new cabinet, potentially hardening the lines between the interim military rulers and protesters demanding their exit. At the same time, the Obama administration urged the generals to transfer power immediately to a civilian government “empowered with real authority.”

Nov. 24 New divisions in the Muslim Brotherhood appeared, as a senior leader hinted that it might walk away from a deal struck with Egypt’s interim military rulers, reflecting signs of confusion and hesitation as the Brotherhood’s most viable bid for power in eight decades has become tangled in the uncertainty and anger gripping Egypt’s streets.

Nov. 23 Egypt careened into another day of crisis with no end in sight as thousands of people occupying Tahrir Square rejected a deal struck by the military and the Muslim Brotherhood. Officials said that 31 people had died since the unrest began last week.

Nov. 22 Despite an increasingly lethal crackdown, a crowd of well over 100,000 filled Tahrir Square in Cairo and battled with the police in nearby streets for the fourth straight day. The ruling military council agreed to speed up the transition to civilian rule in a deal made with Islamist groups.

Nov. 21 After three days of increasingly violent demonstrations, Egypt’s interim civilian government submitted its resignation to the country’s ruling military council, bowing to the demands of the protesters and marking a crisis of legitimacy for the military-led government. The step was reported by Egyptian television, and it remained to be seen whether the military would accept or reject the offer of the resignation. The same day, the Health Ministry said that at least 23 people were killed in protests. Since Nov. 19, more than 1,500 people had been wounded, the ministry said.

Nov. 20 Egypt’s interim military rulers battled a reinvigorated protest movement calling for its ouster, as thousands of demonstrators forced troops to retreat from Tahrir Square for a second night in a row.

Nov. 18 Tens of thousands of Islamists jammed Tahrir Square here to protest efforts by Egypt’s military rulers to retain power, escalating a confrontation a week before the first parliamentary elections since Mr. Mubarak was deposed.

Nov. 16 The Obama administration has warned Egypt’s military rulers that failure to move to civilian control could undermine the defining revolt of the Arab Spring.

Nov. 10 The question shadowing Egypt’s parliamentary elections is whether a robust enough Parliament will emerge to challenge the military’s 60-year grip on power.

Oct. 9 A demonstration by angry Christians in Cairo touched off a night of violent protests against the military council ruling Egypt, leaving 24 people dead and more than 200 wounded in the worst spasm of violence since the ouster of President Mubarak. The protest occurred against a backdrop of escalating tensions between Muslims and Coptic Christians, and appeared to catch fire because it was aimed squarely at the military council, at a moment when the military’s delays in turning over power had led to a spike in public distrust of its authority.

Sept. 24 Egypt’s military ruler, Field Marshal Mohamed Hussein Tantawi, testified at the trial of his onetime patron and colleague, former President Hosni Mubarak, in a closed hearing that disappointed prosecutors who had hoped he would help determine whether the ousted Egyptian leader conspired to order the killing of unarmed demonstrators in his final days in power in February.

Sept. 12 Acknowledging a credibility crisis after it allowed a mob to invade the Israeli Embassy in Cairo, the military-led transitional government said that it would exploit a reviled “emergency law” allowing extra-judicial detentions as part of a new crackdown on disruptive protests. This marked an abrupt reversal for the military council, which had promised to eliminate the law, which had been considered emblematic of Mr. Mubarak’s authoritarian rule”.

Dalam liputan khususnya, Media Jazeera mengungkapkan kecurigaan rakyat Mesir terhadap masih bercokolnya Pemerintahan Militer di belakang partai pemenang Pemilu tersebut. 

"A suspicion about the real agenda of the military still remains and all are aware that the parliament that is elected will only have legislative power. The real power - the executive power - will remain with the military, which says it will stay in charge until there is an elected president in place". 

Sementara itu, media sayap kiri (Marxis) yang turut mendukung boikot terhadap pemilu juga melayangkan kecurigaan serupa,  

"In any case, it was clear from the beginning that whoever wins the elections will have to abide by the wishes of the SCAF. The role of the Muslim Brotherhood, and the other Islamist organisations who were in electoral alliance with it, would merely be that of a rubber stamp of the new military dictatorship". 

Bagaimanapun hasil perolehan suara pemilu di Mesir, tampaknya tidak akan jauh berbeda dengan perolehan Pemilu Tunisia, Turki dan Maroko, yang dimenangkan oleh  Partai Islam Moderat. (/RC)